Coffee Market Closes Lower Amid Stronger Dollar and Rising Stock Levels

The international coffee market closed lower on Thursday (17), reflecting pressure from external factors such as a stronger U.S. dollar and rising ICE-monitored stock levels. Arabica inventories reached their highest level in a month, while robusta stocks hit a weekly peak, signaling a slight easing in perceived scarcity and negatively impacting prices. This scenario led to declines in futures contracts on both the New York and London exchanges, with robusta seeing particularly sharp drops.

Despite the downward trend, analysts maintain that the fundamental outlook for the coffee market remains solid. Fernando Maximiliano, from StoneX, emphasizes that recent price movements are being driven more by technical and macroeconomic factors than by real changes in supply and demand. The gradual entry of the 2025 harvest may provide temporary relief to future quotations, but it does not solve the ongoing issue of limited supply, exacerbated by adverse weather conditions and historically low global inventories.

In Brazil’s domestic market, activity also remained subdued, with sales of the 2025/26 crop progressing at a slow pace. Although recent weeks have seen a slight uptick in selling interest—driven by rainfall and declining international prices—trading volumes are still modest. Price movements across key regions were mixed, with some isolated gains in areas like Rio Grande do Sul and declines in traditional hubs such as Franca and Guaxupé. Producers remain cautious in the face of a still-unstable global market landscape. Fonte: Noticias Agrícolas Preços do café encerram sessão desta 5ª feira (17) com quedas moderadas nas... - Notícias Agrícolas