Coffee Market Ends the Week Lower with Rain Expectations in Minas Gerais

The coffee market ended the week with depreciation on major international exchanges, reflecting the expectation of widespread rainfall in Minas Gerais. The weather forecast eased concerns about drought, impacting arabica in particular, which hit a two-week low. However, global supply concerns continue to support prices, as production remains limited to meet global demand. Márcio Cândido, president of Cecafé, warns that an improvement in weather conditions could lead to a 10% to 15% drop in international prices, as the current crop is already operating at the limit of its productive capacity.

Arabica prices fell significantly, with declines of up to 850 points in futures contracts, while robusta also recorded substantial drops, reaching $131 per ton in the nearest maturities. The pressure on prices reflects an ongoing volatile market, where uncertainty about the next harvest keeps investors on alert. Meanwhile, in the domestic market, producers continue to take a cautious approach, selling strategically and waiting for better conditions. The commercialization of the 2024/25 crop advanced to 93%, showing an increase of 5 percentage points compared to the previous month.

In Brazil’s main producing regions, physical prices also declined, following the movement of the exchanges. Arabica Type 6 fell by up to 3.16% in Campos Gerais/MG, while Pulped Natural coffee registered a 3.08% drop in the same region. The defensive stance of producers indicates a market closely monitoring currency and exchange fluctuations, waiting for more favorable moments to negotiate. With the arrival of the 2025 harvest approaching and an uncertain climate scenario, market volatility is expected to persist in the coming months. Fonte: Noticias Agrícolas Café: Clima pressiona preços que encerram sessão desta 6ª feira (14) em... - Notícias Agrícolas