Coffee Market Reacts with Gains in NY and London Despite Rising Stocks and Declining Exports

The Arabica coffee futures market closed Tuesday’s (13th) session higher on the New York Stock Exchange, reversing part of the previous losses. The nearest contracts — May, July, and September 2025 — rose between 240 and 380 points, mainly supported by the appreciation of the Brazilian real against the dollar, which favors short covering. This recovery also reflects a technical move after early-session losses, as traders reacted to the exchange rate scenario and adjusted their positions in the futures contracts.

On the other hand, the market remains attentive to Brazilian export data and global stock behavior. Cecafé reported a significant 28% drop in Brazil’s green coffee exports in April, which would theoretically support prices. However, ICE-monitored stocks increased for both arabica and robusta, indicating greater product availability and limiting price advances. This factor helps balance the upward pressures with a more moderate technical bias.

In the case of robusta coffee, prices also rose on the London Exchange, with May, July, and September futures contracts posting strong gains. The main justification lies in the reduction of exports from Vietnam, combined with a crop failure caused by drought, which reinforces the perception of supply shortages in Asia. Meanwhile, in the Brazilian domestic market, coffee prices remained stable in the main producing regions, with few significant fluctuations, showing caution among market players in light of weather uncertainties and the progress of the harvest.

Source: Notícias Agrícolas